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Economics

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Ends · 24h vol $277 · liquidity $57.4K
Yes 29¢No 72¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Taker fee$3.55on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$57.4K24h vol $277

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10034529¢+0.00¢$3.55fills
$1,0003,44829¢+0.00¢$35.50fills
$10,00026,29338¢+9.03¢$292.21fills

Order book Yes · latest

35¢244
34¢49
33¢114
32¢1,087
31¢6,923
30¢5,681
29¢3,540
spread 1.0¢ · mid 29¢
28¢10
27¢2,385
26¢5,748
25¢9,370
24¢10
23¢73
19¢1,000

Market read

Yes is 29¢. No is 72¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes29¢Trade on Polymarket
No72¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.