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EconomicsResolved

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends · 24h vol $2.20M · liquidity $0
Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread—bid — / ask —
Taker fee$0.00on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 200 shquotes within 2.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeProposedUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$024h vol $2.20M

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$100———$0.00partial
$1,000———$0.00partial
$10,000———$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

spread — · mid —

Market read

Yes is 0.0¢. No is 100.0¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.0¢Trade on Polymarket
No100.0¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

UMA status: proposed.

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No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.