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Economics

Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Ends · 24h vol $1.4K · liquidity $31.5K
Yes 16¢No 84¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Taker fee$4.12on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$31.5K24h vol $1.4K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10057018¢+0.13¢$4.12fills
$1,0003,99525¢+7.63¢$35.77fills
$10,00017,59757¢+39.43¢$182.63fills

Order book Yes · latest

19¢134
19¢386
18¢160
18¢50
18¢30
18¢400
17¢80
spread 2.0¢ · mid 16¢
15¢16
15¢149
15¢450
15¢103
15¢143
14¢199
10¢51

Market read

Yes is 16¢. No is 84¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes16¢Trade on Polymarket
No84¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.