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Politics

Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Ends · 24h vol $56 · liquidity $13.0K
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread2.7¢bid 3.8¢ / ask 6.5¢
Taker fee$2.51on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$13.0K24h vol $56

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10050520¢+13.28¢$2.51fills
$1,0002,04249¢+42.48¢$17.27fills
$10,00013,28475¢+68.78¢$88.68fills

Order book Yes · latest

49¢5
9.5¢100
9.2¢60
7.4¢20
7.3¢80
6.6¢29
6.5¢71
spread 2.7¢ · mid 5.2¢
3.8¢40
3.7¢100
3.5¢20
3.1¢5
3¢20
1.3¢36
1.2¢300

Market read

Yes is 5.1¢. No is 94.9¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes5.1¢Trade on Polymarket
No94.9¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

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Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.