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Politics

Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $449
Yes 30¢No 70¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread22.1¢bid 19¢ / ask 41¢
Taker fee$2.15on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 8.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$44924h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10021946¢+4.84¢$2.15fills
$1,0001,18684¢+43.43¢$4.39fills
$10,00010,27997.3¢+56.38¢$8.08fills

Order book Yes · latest

55¢50
46¢50
44¢50
44¢35
42¢26
42¢8
41¢13
spread 22.1¢ · mid 30¢
19¢6
19¢35
19¢33
18¢200
10¢9
0.9¢8
0.8¢9

Market read

Yes is 30¢. No is 70¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes30¢Trade on Polymarket
No70¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Resolution source: https://elections.nz/

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.