Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 229 | 44¢ | +2.57¢ | $2.25 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,407 | 71¢ | +30.05¢ | $9.74 | fills |
| $10,000 | 11,637 | 86¢ | +44.93¢ | $53.02 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 39¢. No is 61¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 61¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Resolution source: https://elections.nz/
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.