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Politics

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $65.9K · liquidity $376.9K
Yes 37¢No 64¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
Taker fee$2.52on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $2500 · reward $20
Liquidity$376.9K24h vol $65.9K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10027037¢+0.00¢$2.52fills
$1,0002,70337¢+0.00¢$25.20fills
$10,00027,02737¢+0.00¢$252.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

43¢10,053
42¢29,563
41¢22,750
40¢157,182
39¢71,591
38¢99,207
37¢43,204
spread 1.0¢ · mid 37¢
36¢15,911
35¢12,345
34¢16,999
33¢1,780
32¢8,200
31¢7,350
30¢2,180

Market read

Yes is 37¢. No is 64¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes37¢Trade on Polymarket
No64¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.