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Politics

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $42.2K · liquidity $329.5K
Yes 32¢No 69¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Taker fee$2.72on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $2500 · reward $20
Liquidity$329.5K24h vol $42.2K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10031332¢+0.00¢$2.72fills
$1,0003,09232¢+0.34¢$27.06fills
$10,00030,36533¢+0.93¢$268.26fills

Order book Yes · latest

38¢7,873
37¢23,815
36¢16,975
35¢14,318
34¢31,334
33¢40,466
32¢2,031
spread 1.0¢ · mid 32¢
31¢32,443
30¢23,259
29¢182,357
28¢223,523
27¢8,868
26¢978
24¢250

Market read

Yes is 32¢. No is 69¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes32¢Trade on Polymarket
No69¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.