Economics

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 15 · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $447

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread3.2¢bid 1.5¢ / ask 4.7¢

Taker fee$2.19on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0

Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify

DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5

Liquidity$44724h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

Spend	Shares	Avg price	Slippage	Est. taker fee	Book
$100	520	19¢	+14.53¢	$2.19	fills
$1,000	973	55¢	+49.96¢	$2.71	partial
$10,000	973	55¢	+49.96¢	$2.71	partial

Order book Yes · latest

5.8¢40

5.3¢20

5.1¢40

5¢40

4.9¢100

4.8¢20

4.7¢8

spread 3.2¢ · mid 3.1¢

1.5¢40

1.4¢20

1.3¢6

1.2¢40

1¢8

0.9¢20

0.7¢159

Market read

Yes is 3.1¢. No is 96.9¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

Outcome	Price
Yes	3.1¢	Trade on Polymarket
No	96.9¢	Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Resolution source: https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms

UMA status: no proposal.