PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends · 24h vol $60.0K · liquidity $863.8K
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 3.4¢ / ask 3.5¢
Taker fee$3.86on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 200 shquotes within 3.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$863.8K24h vol $60.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,8573.5¢+0.00¢$3.86fills
$1,00025,0094¢+0.50¢$38.39fills
$10,000211,2614.7¢+1.23¢$380.97fills

Order book Yes · latest

4.2¢5,330
4.1¢3,970
4¢2,212
3.9¢1,302
3.8¢1,002
3.7¢20
3.5¢5,644
spread 0.1¢ · mid 3.5¢
3.4¢4,065
3.3¢3,741
3.2¢1,701
3.1¢7,823
3¢103,217
2.9¢23,817
2.8¢13,601

Market read

Yes is 3.5¢. No is 96.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes3.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No96.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.