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Economics

Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $752
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.2¢bid 7.6¢ / ask 8.8¢
Taker fee$3.85on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$75224h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10066615¢+6.22¢$3.85fills
$1,0001,64761¢+51.93¢$6.35fills
$10,00010,66193.8¢+85.00¢$7.06fills

Order book Yes · latest

59¢58
29¢33
13¢323
11¢140
9.1¢20
8.9¢111
8.8¢6
spread 1.2¢ · mid 8.2¢
7.6¢20
7.5¢38
7.4¢57
7.3¢20
7.1¢320
7¢20
4.5¢20

Market read

Yes is 8.2¢. No is 91.8¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes8.2¢Trade on Polymarket
No91.8¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.