Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 526 | 19¢ | +0.00¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $1,000 | 5,263 | 19¢ | +0.00¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $10,000 | 50,617 | 20¢ | +0.76¢ | $0.00 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 19¢. No is 82¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 82¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Related markets
This event has one listed market.
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.