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Geopolitics

Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $85 · liquidity $10.5K
Yes 23¢No 77¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread4.0¢bid 21¢ / ask 25¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$10.5K24h vol $85

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10021946¢+20.62¢$0.00fills
$1,0001,31776¢+50.90¢$0.00fills
$10,00012,03283¢+58.11¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

62¢40
61¢40
55¢11
33¢10
32¢12
26¢41
25¢40
spread 4.0¢ · mid 23¢
21¢40
20¢115
19¢39
18¢5
13¢102
10¢21
8¢805

Market read

Yes is 23¢. No is 77¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes23¢Trade on Polymarket
No77¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George Washington (CVN-73) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Washington will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS George Washington left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

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Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.