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Politics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?

Ends · 24h vol $221 · liquidity $10.6K
Yes 17¢No 84¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread7.0¢bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Taker fee$1.81on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$10.6K24h vol $221

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10031432¢+21.89¢$1.81fills
$1,00083469¢+59.23¢$3.25partial
$10,00083469¢+59.23¢$3.25partial

Order book Yes · latest

98¢43
82¢277
48¢60
16¢30
15¢40
14¢48
10¢80
spread 7.0¢ · mid 6.5¢
3¢16
2¢186
1¢272

Market read

Yes is 17¢. No is 84¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes17¢Trade on Polymarket
No84¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

This event has one listed market.

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.