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Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $1.5K
Yes 4.4¢No 95.6¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread4.2¢bid 2.3¢ / ask 6.5¢
Taker fee$3.62on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$1.5K24h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,0789.3¢+2.77¢$3.62fills
$1,0002,22936¢+29.13¢$7.55partial
$10,0002,22936¢+29.13¢$7.55partial

Order book Yes · latest

9.5¢51
9¢50
7.3¢40
7.2¢204
7¢90
6.9¢5
6.5¢5
spread 4.2¢ · mid 4.4¢
2.3¢204
2.2¢6
2.1¢820
2¢2,206
1.8¢117
1.3¢22
1.2¢417

Market read

Yes is 4.4¢. No is 95.6¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes4.4¢Trade on Polymarket
No95.6¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

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No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.