Politics
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?
Ends · 24h vol $10 · liquidity $7.2K
Yes 81¢No 19¢
Price
FROG CHECK
Spread18.0¢bid 71¢ / ask 89¢
Taker fee$0.44on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$7.2K24h vol $10
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 112 | 89¢ | +0.11¢ | $0.44 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,031 | 97¢ | +8.04¢ | $1.14 | fills |
| $10,000 | 1,819 | 97.9¢ | +8.89¢ | $1.45 | partial |
Order book Yes · latest
98¢90
97¢103
96¢76
95¢10
92¢40
90¢20
89¢100
spread 18.0¢ · mid 80¢
71¢40
62¢30
43¢40
42¢55
41¢483
31¢40
25¢300
Market read
Yes is 81¢. No is 19¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 81¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 19¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
UMA status: no proposal.
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.