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Economics

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in November?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $51
Yes 51¢No 49¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread74.0¢bid 14¢ / ask 88¢
Taker fee$0.29on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $250 · reward $0.6
Liquidity$5124h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10010892.6¢+4.58¢$0.29fills
$1,00024295.3¢+7.32¢$0.42partial
$10,00024295.3¢+7.32¢$0.42partial

Order book Yes · latest

98¢47
97¢20
96¢35
95¢20
94¢50
93¢13
88¢27
spread 74.0¢ · mid 51¢
14¢226
12¢13
9¢6
8¢20
5¢28
4¢30
3¢5

Market read

Yes is 51¢. No is 49¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes51¢Trade on Polymarket
No49¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during November 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.