
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between November 2-November 8?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 299 | 33¢ | +0.42¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,699 | 59¢ | +25.85¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $10,000 | 12,165 | 82¢ | +49.20¢ | $0.00 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 33¢. No is 68¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 68¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of notices that UKMTO (United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations) publishes on its Recent Incidents page with a publication date from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026 (UTC), inclusive, as displayed on that page. All notice types will count, including warnings, advisories, suspicious activity notices, and attack reports, including time-late reports of incidents that occurred before November 2, 2026 (UTC). Each notice will be counted once. Updates to, corrections of, or reissues of a previously published notice will not count as separate notices, including any subsequent notice that updates or provides additional information on an incident already reported by UKMTO. Only notices published by UKMTO will count. Maritime incidents that are not the subject of a UKMTO notice published within the specified period will not count, regardless of whether they occurred or are reported by other sources. This market will resolve as soon as all notices for the specified period have been published. Notices published after November 8, 2026 (UTC) will not be considered, even if they relate to incidents within the specified period. The resolution source for this market will be UKMTO, specifically the Recent Incidents page at https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents. If that page is unavailable, notices published through UKMTO's official channels may be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.