PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Geopolitics

Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between November 2-November 8?

Ends · 24h vol $159 · liquidity $21.1K
Yes 33¢No 68¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 8.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$21.1K24h vol $159

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10029933¢+0.42¢$0.00fills
$1,0001,69959¢+25.85¢$0.00fills
$10,00012,16582¢+49.20¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

77¢50
64¢22
59¢5
58¢19
35¢126
34¢481
33¢175
spread 1.0¢ · mid 33¢
32¢175
31¢483
30¢126
11¢73
10¢1,300
7¢28,571
5¢50,000

Market read

Yes is 33¢. No is 68¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes33¢Trade on Polymarket
No68¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of notices that UKMTO (United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations) publishes on its Recent Incidents page with a publication date from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026 (UTC), inclusive, as displayed on that page. All notice types will count, including warnings, advisories, suspicious activity notices, and attack reports, including time-late reports of incidents that occurred before November 2, 2026 (UTC). Each notice will be counted once. Updates to, corrections of, or reissues of a previously published notice will not count as separate notices, including any subsequent notice that updates or provides additional information on an incident already reported by UKMTO. Only notices published by UKMTO will count. Maritime incidents that are not the subject of a UKMTO notice published within the specified period will not count, regardless of whether they occurred or are reported by other sources. This market will resolve as soon as all notices for the specified period have been published. Notices published after November 8, 2026 (UTC) will not be considered, even if they relate to incidents within the specified period. The resolution source for this market will be UKMTO, specifically the Recent Incidents page at https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents. If that page is unavailable, notices published through UKMTO's official channels may be used.

Resolution source: https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.