PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Will the Democratic Party control the House… 92.5¢ — · Will the Republican Party control the House… 7.5¢ — · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House 6.5¢ -1.0 · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential… 16¢ -2.2 · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 67¢ +1.0 · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race… 30¢ -2.0 · LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game… 93.5¢ +22.0 · LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)… 90¢ +10.0 · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates… 23¢ +6.0 · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House 27¢ — · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race… 71¢ +2.0 · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 6¢ +0.5 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps… 76¢ -5.0 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through November… 77¢ +3.5 ·

Markets

Open markets from the public book. Top volume is 24 hour volume. Trending multiplies the 24 hour move by that volume. Big movers sort by the 24 hour move. Ending soon is the listed end time.

Top volumeTrending 24hMost big tradesBig moversEnding soonCardsTable
AllPoliticsSportsCryptoEconomicsGeopoliticsTechWeatherCulture
MarketPrice24h24h vol
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?21¢10.5¢$10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 15, 2026?12¢—$10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 16, 2026?10¢—$10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 20, 2026?12¢—$10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 28, 2026?12¢—$10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 29, 2026?12¢—$10
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?27¢3.0¢$9
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?65¢—$6
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?14¢-0.5¢$5
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?6.2¢-0.1¢$5
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?22¢-3.0¢$1
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?29¢18.1¢$1
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1560 by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?50¢0.0¢$0