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Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $1.3K · liquidity $3.8K
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread4.4¢bid 1.6¢ / ask 6¢
Taker fee$4.47on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$3.8K24h vol $1.3K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,0099.9¢+3.92¢$4.47fills
$1,0004,24424¢+17.56¢$35.68fills
$10,00013,65473¢+67.24¢$48.68fills

Order book Yes · latest

8.9¢20
8.7¢21
8.6¢69
8¢80
7.9¢15
7.7¢10
6¢145
spread 4.4¢ · mid 3.8¢
1.6¢350
1.5¢300
1.3¢159
1.1¢720
1¢1,953
0.4¢241
0.3¢1,373

Market read

Yes is 3.8¢. No is 96.2¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes3.8¢Trade on Polymarket
No96.2¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.