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Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $162 · liquidity $4.8K
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Taker fee$4.50on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$4.8K24h vol $162

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,0069.9¢+0.94¢$4.50fills
$1,0005,08520¢+10.67¢$37.74fills
$10,00011,53461¢+51.50¢$53.92partial

Order book Yes · latest

15¢227
14¢112
13¢189
12¢234
11¢179
10¢1,310
9¢61
spread 1.0¢ · mid 8.5¢
8¢153
7¢1,550
6¢990
5¢426
4¢1,350
3¢167
2¢885

Market read

Yes is 8.5¢. No is 91.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes8.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No91.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.