PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $2.1K · liquidity $6.9K
Yes 16¢No 85¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Taker fee$4.14on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$6.9K24h vol $2.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10058317¢+1.15¢$4.14fills
$1,0004,73321¢+5.13¢$38.93fills
$10,00012,89058¢+42.35¢$80.28partial

Order book Yes · latest

23¢100
22¢37
20¢410
19¢307
18¢2,032
17¢424
16¢36
spread 1.0¢ · mid 16¢
15¢8
14¢338
13¢540
12¢2,284
11¢1,009
10¢415
9¢50

Market read

Yes is 16¢. No is 85¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes16¢Trade on Polymarket
No85¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.