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Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $4.0K · liquidity $8.2K
Yes 18¢No 83¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Taker fee$4.10on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$8.2K24h vol $4.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10055618¢+0.00¢$4.10fills
$1,0004,83821¢+2.67¢$39.21fills
$10,00013,88855¢+37.16¢$98.34partial

Order book Yes · latest

25¢129
24¢104
23¢63
22¢63
20¢384
19¢691
18¢2,606
spread 1.0¢ · mid 18¢
17¢98
16¢1,470
15¢1,624
14¢491
13¢384
12¢1,708
11¢168

Market read

Yes is 18¢. No is 83¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes18¢Trade on Polymarket
No83¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.