Crypto

Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1 · 24h vol $5.2K · liquidity $22.0K

Yes 11¢No 90¢

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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 10¢ / ask 11¢

Taker fee$6.15on $100 · crypto rate 0.07 · makers $0

Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify

DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5

Liquidity$22.0K24h vol $5.2K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

Spend	Shares	Avg price	Slippage	Est. taker fee	Book
$100	827	12¢	+1.10¢	$6.15	fills
$1,000	4,239	24¢	+12.59¢	$46.57	fills
$10,000	17,541	57¢	+46.01¢	$249.11	fills

Order book Yes · latest

17¢300

16¢246

15¢30

14¢1,000

13¢611

12¢71

11¢338

spread 1.0¢ · mid 11¢

10¢7,868

9¢44

7¢406

6¢354

5¢500

4¢1,620

3¢2,387

Market read

Yes is 11¢. No is 90¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

Outcome	Price
Yes	11¢	Trade on Polymarket
No	90¢	Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source: https://predict.fun/

UMA status: no proposal.