Crypto

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1 · 24h vol $32.5K · liquidity $40.7K

Yes 96.4¢No 3.6¢

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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 96.3¢ / ask 96.4¢

Taker fee$0.25on $100 · crypto rate 0.07 · makers $0

Maker rewardsMin 30 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify

DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5

Liquidity$40.7K24h vol $32.5K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

Spend	Shares	Avg price	Slippage	Est. taker fee	Book
$100	104	96.4¢	+0.00¢	$0.25	fills
$1,000	1,036	96.5¢	+0.09¢	$2.46	fills
$10,000	10,338	96.7¢	+0.33¢	$22.87	fills

Order book Yes · latest

97.3¢440

97.1¢220

97¢20,694

96.9¢4,000

96.8¢1,823

96.5¢3,828

96.4¢135

spread 0.1¢ · mid 96.4¢

96.3¢2,873

96.2¢220

96.1¢937

95.8¢2,000

95.6¢1,055

95.5¢209

95.4¢5

Market read

Yes is 96.4¢. No is 3.6¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

Outcome	Price
Yes	96.4¢	Trade on Polymarket
No	3.6¢	Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source: https://predict.fun/

UMA status: no proposal.