U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?
Price
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 1,618 | 6.2¢ | +2.18¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $1,000 | 3,472 | 29¢ | +24.80¢ | $0.00 | fills |
| $10,000 | 14,531 | 69¢ | +64.82¢ | $0.00 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 3.6¢. No is 96.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.6¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 96.5¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.