PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Politics

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?

Ends · 24h vol $259 · liquidity $2.0K
Yes 20¢No 80¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread18.0¢bid 11¢ / ask 29¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$2.0K24h vol $259

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10025639¢+9.99¢$0.00fills
$1,0001,48367¢+38.43¢$0.00fills
$10,0005,14287¢+58.11¢$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

50¢500
45¢100
40¢30
35¢20
31¢64
30¢20
29¢5
spread 18.0¢ · mid 20¢
11¢93
10¢300
7¢286
6¢2,567
5¢3,750
4¢4,688
3¢6,882

Market read

Yes is 20¢. No is 80¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes20¢Trade on Polymarket
No80¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.