
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 29?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 137 | 73¢ | +0.00¢ | $1.35 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,130 | 75¢ | +2.05¢ | $10.31 | partial |
| $10,000 | 1,130 | 75¢ | +2.05¢ | $10.31 | partial |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 37¢. No is 63¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 63¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on October 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.
Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.