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Politics

Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $56
Yes 56¢No 44¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread37.0¢bid 38¢ / ask 75¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$5624h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10012282¢+7.13¢$0.00fills
$1,00053692.6¢+17.61¢$0.00partial
$10,00053692.6¢+17.61¢$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

95¢106
94¢200
93¢9
80¢42
78¢20
77¢9
75¢20
spread 37.0¢ · mid 56¢
38¢147
37¢15
7¢8
6¢10
2¢180
1¢325

Market read

Yes is 56¢. No is 44¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes56¢Trade on Polymarket
No44¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.