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Politics

Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Ends · 24h vol $30 · liquidity $20.8K
Yes 51¢No 49¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread4.0¢bid 49¢ / ask 53¢
Taker fee$1.87on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$20.8K24h vol $30

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10018753¢+0.36¢$1.87fills
$1,0001,44069¢+16.44¢$10.63fills
$10,00011,44087¢+34.41¢$46.63fills

Order book Yes · latest

87¢8
84¢6
81¢33
80¢18
56¢356
54¢330
53¢119
spread 4.0¢ · mid 51¢
49¢8
48¢56
47¢111
46¢100
12¢344
11¢18,182
10¢51

Market read

Yes is 51¢. No is 49¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes51¢Trade on Polymarket
No49¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).

Resolution source: https://www.vrk.lt/

UMA status: no proposal.

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Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.