Will Maksimas Paukštė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 312 | 32¢ | +25.34¢ | $1.96 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,393 | 72¢ | +65.07¢ | $7.70 | fills |
| $10,000 | 10,776 | 92.8¢ | +86.10¢ | $22.32 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 3.7¢. No is 96.3¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.7¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 96.3¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Resolution source: https://www.vrk.lt/
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