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Economics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Ends · 24h vol $848 · liquidity $80.3K
Yes 4.6¢No 95.4¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.2¢bid 3.5¢ / ask 5.7¢
Taker fee$4.46on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$80.3K24h vol $848

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10097410¢+4.57¢$4.46fills
$1,0006,59515¢+9.46¢$42.22fills
$10,00026,10238¢+32.61¢$231.09fills

Order book Yes · latest

12¢215
10¢134
10¢50
10¢100
6.6¢25
5.8¢97
5.7¢50
spread 2.2¢ · mid 4.6¢
3.5¢8
3.3¢500
3.2¢668
3.1¢1,000
3¢913
2¢5,000
1.3¢17

Market read

Yes is 4.6¢. No is 95.4¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes4.6¢Trade on Polymarket
No95.4¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 16-17, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.