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Economics

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?

Ends · 24h vol $7.1K · liquidity $89.0K
Yes 43¢No 57¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Taker fee$2.83on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$89.0K24h vol $7.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10023143¢+0.33¢$2.83fills
$1,0002,27644¢+0.93¢$28.03fills
$10,00019,44751¢+8.42¢$240.63fills

Order book Yes · latest

51¢379
50¢30
49¢79
46¢597
45¢1,420
44¢3,465
43¢155
spread 1.0¢ · mid 43¢
42¢274
41¢4,035
40¢2,109
39¢6,784
38¢4,683
34¢500
31¢100

Market read

Yes is 43¢. No is 57¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes43¢Trade on Polymarket
No57¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 16-17, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.