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Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $502
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread3.5¢bid 2.8¢ / ask 6.3¢
Taker fee$3.13on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$50224h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10052819¢+12.63¢$3.13fills
$1,0001,40968¢+61.25¢$4.01partial
$10,0001,40968¢+61.25¢$4.01partial

Order book Yes · latest

9¢50
8.2¢80
7.8¢20
7.5¢70
6.7¢40
6.6¢8
6.3¢20
spread 3.5¢ · mid 4.5¢
2.8¢25
2.7¢96
2.6¢20
1.7¢21
1.6¢70
1.5¢20
1.2¢11

Market read

Yes is 4.5¢. No is 95.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes4.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No95.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.