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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere… 62¢ — · Will the Republican Party control the House… 7.5¢ -1.0 · Will the Democratic Party control the House… 92.5¢ +1.0 · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates… 22¢ +2.0 · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 67¢ +1.0 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps… 77¢ — · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House 6.5¢ -1.0 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+… 2.5¢ +0.2 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through November… 82¢ +10.0 · Will the Republican Party control the Senate… 33¢ -1.0 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by… 29¢ +8.0 · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race… 32¢ -1.0 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October… 97.1¢ +1.6 · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through… 97¢ -0.1 ·

Tech and AI markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as tech. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Related: CryptoEconomyCulture · Methodology

MarketPrice24h24h volEnds
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 15, 2026?		9.5¢—$962026-11-16
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 16, 2026?		9¢—$962026-11-17
Tech
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 19, 2026?		12¢—$942026-11-20
Tech
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 8, 2026?		7¢—$942026-11-09
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 17, 2026?		11¢—$922026-11-18
Tech
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?		12¢+5.9¢$902027-01-01
Tech
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 1, 2026?		5.5¢—$892026-11-02
Tech
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?		8.5¢—$882026-11-12
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 18, 2026?		10¢—$882026-11-19
Tech
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 24, 2026?		8¢—$832026-11-25
Tech
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 13, 2026?		8¢—$782026-11-14
Tech
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 23, 2026?		7¢—$782026-11-24
Tech
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?		24¢-2.0¢$762026-12-01
Tech
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 20, 2026?		12¢—$742026-11-21
Tech
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?		23¢-27.5¢$702026-12-31
Tech
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?		29¢+25.1¢$702026-12-01
Tech
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?		14¢+13.1¢$622026-12-01
Tech
AWS service disrupted by October 31?		21¢+3.0¢$602026-11-01
Tech
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?		9.3¢+3.5¢$592027-01-01
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 10, 2026?		15¢—$512026-11-11
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 22, 2026?		11¢—$512026-11-23
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 23, 2026?		18¢—$512026-11-24
Tech
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?		96.3¢-0.3¢$502027-07-01
Tech
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?		3.5¢+0.9¢$412027-01-01

Biggest movers

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?
-27.5¢
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
+25.1¢
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
+13.1¢
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
+5.9¢
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
+3.5¢

Ending soon

AWS service disrupted by October 31?
2026-11-01
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 1, 2026?
2026-11-02
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 8, 2026?
2026-11-09
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 10, 2026?
2026-11-11
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
2026-11-12

Most big trades

No large prints for this topic in the latest refresh.