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Alerts
Will the Democratic Party control the House… 92.5¢ — · Will the Republican Party control the House… 7¢ -0.5 · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House 6.5¢ -1.0 · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates… 22¢ +2.5 · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 67¢ — · Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI… 51¢ +8.0 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps… 77¢ -1.5 · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race… 32¢ — · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House 27¢ — · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential… 17¢ -0.9 · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 5.5¢ — · LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)… 82¢ +2.0 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October… 95.2¢ -0.1 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through November… 81¢ +7.0 ·

Markets

Open markets from the public book. Top volume is 24 hour volume. Trending multiplies the 24 hour move by that volume. Big movers sort by the 24 hour move. Ending soon is the listed end time.

Top volumeTrending 24hMost big tradesBig moversEnding soonCardsTable
AllPoliticsSportsCryptoEconomicsGeopoliticsTechWeatherCulture
MarketPrice24h24h vol
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?32¢—$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?49¢—$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on October 29?8.5¢—$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on October 29?3.5¢—$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?5.7¢0.4¢$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe25¢23.6¢$0
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?18¢0.5¢$0
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?6.7¢0.1¢$0
Will Arch Manning rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?3.5¢0.1¢$0
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?29¢12.5¢$0
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?16¢6.2¢$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026?4.8¢0.5¢$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?10¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?12¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?14¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 7, 2026?19¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?50¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?49¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?49¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?50¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?50¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?50¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?50¢—$0
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?50¢—$0
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?6.1¢3.6¢$0