PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Politics

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

Ends · 24h vol $27.3K · liquidity $34.9K
Yes 47¢No 53¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 46¢ / ask 48¢
Taker fee$2.05on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$34.9K24h vol $27.3K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10020549¢+0.80¢$2.05fills
$1,0001,99550¢+2.13¢$19.93fills
$10,00014,10471¢+22.90¢$107.06fills

Order book Yes · latest

55¢458
54¢534
53¢9
51¢262
50¢777
49¢716
48¢41
spread 2.0¢ · mid 47¢
46¢774
45¢1,372
44¢2,217
41¢250
35¢248
34¢220
33¢702

Market read

Yes is 47¢. No is 53¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes47¢Trade on Polymarket
No53¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.