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Politics

Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Ends · 24h vol $1000 · liquidity $23.0K
Yes 1.9¢No 98.1¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.6¢bid 1.6¢ / ask 2.2¢
Taker fee$3.55on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$23.0K24h vol $1000

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,0339.7¢+7.48¢$3.55fills
$1,0004,82621¢+18.52¢$30.52fills
$10,00023,43143¢+40.48¢$209.73fills

Order book Yes · latest

10¢333
9.7¢8
9.5¢20
9.4¢136
3.6¢30
2.3¢34
2.2¢116
spread 0.6¢ · mid 1.9¢
1.6¢188
1.5¢3,714
1.1¢455
1¢500
0.9¢556
0.8¢625
0.3¢1,532

Market read

Yes is 1.9¢. No is 98.1¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes1.9¢Trade on Polymarket
No98.1¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.