PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Politics

Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Ends · 24h vol $2.1K · liquidity $24.2K
Yes 12¢No 88¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Taker fee$3.25on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$24.2K24h vol $2.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10056218¢+5.09¢$3.25fills
$1,0003,86526¢+13.17¢$29.39fills
$10,00021,67746¢+33.43¢$201.22fills

Order book Yes · latest

19¢52
19¢80
16¢60
14¢104
14¢70
13¢34
13¢20
spread 2.0¢ · mid 12¢
11¢37
11¢50
10¢37
10¢66
10¢154
9.9¢400
9.8¢320

Market read

Yes is 12¢. No is 88¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes12¢Trade on Polymarket
No88¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.