Tech and AI markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as tech. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

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Market	Price	24h	24h vol	Ends
Tech Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	67¢	-3.5¢	$1.0K	2026-11-01
Tech Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	26¢	-0.9¢	$1.0K	2026-12-01
Tech Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	11¢	+2.0¢	$990	2027-01-01
Tech Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	86¢	-9.0¢	$980	2026-11-01
Tech Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	64¢	+6.0¢	$977	2027-07-01
Tech Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	93¢	+13.5¢	$961	2026-10-31
Tech Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	88¢	+13.5¢	$959	2027-07-01
Tech Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	86¢	—	$949	2026-10-31
Tech Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	19¢	-3.5¢	$945	2027-01-01
Tech Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	44¢	+23.9¢	$941	2026-12-01
Tech Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	33¢	+30.9¢	$929	2026-12-31
Tech Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	6.6¢	+0.3¢	$928	2027-01-01
Tech Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	8.6¢	-13.5¢	$890	2026-11-02
Tech Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	46¢	-5.0¢	$853	2026-12-01
Tech Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3.5¢	-19.5¢	$852	2026-11-01
Tech Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	26¢	+2.3¢	$849	2026-10-31
Tech Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	47¢	-9.0¢	$829	2027-01-01
Tech Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	85¢	+6.6¢	$821	2026-11-01
Tech Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	74¢	-5.5¢	$808	2027-01-01
Tech Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	88¢	+8.8¢	$787	2026-11-01
Tech Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	8.2¢	-2.9¢	$772	2026-10-31
Tech Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	9.8¢	-6.3¢	$722	2026-11-01
Tech Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027?	4.5¢	—	$697	2027-01-04
Tech Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	80¢	+5.2¢	$690	2026-10-31
Tech Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	16¢	+4.0¢	$675	2028-01-01