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Geopolitics

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $27.6K
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 2.2¢ / ask 2.3¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA
Liquidity$27.6K24h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1003,5902.8¢+0.49¢$0.00fills
$1,00014,6306.8¢+4.54¢$0.00fills
$10,00029,92233¢+31.12¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

3¢423
2.9¢42
2.7¢350
2.6¢586
2.5¢805
2.4¢250
2.3¢72
spread 0.1¢ · mid 2.3¢
2.2¢113
2¢788
1.9¢507
1.8¢50
1.7¢50
1.5¢726
1.2¢1,942

Market read

Yes is 2.3¢. No is 97.8¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes2.3¢Trade on Polymarket
No97.8¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.