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Geopolitics

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $523 · liquidity $29.2K
Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread0.6¢bid 4.4¢ / ask 5¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA
Liquidity$29.2K24h vol $523

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,8465.4¢+0.42¢$0.00fills
$1,0009,45911¢+5.57¢$0.00fills
$10,00028,07636¢+30.62¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

5.9¢1,204
5.7¢603
5.4¢50
5.3¢50
5.2¢784
5.1¢62
5¢134
spread 0.6¢ · mid 4.7¢
4.4¢100
4.3¢100
4.2¢6
4.1¢50
4¢50
3.8¢154
3.7¢494

Market read

Yes is 4.7¢. No is 95.3¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes4.7¢Trade on Polymarket
No95.3¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.