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Geopolitics

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $21.9K
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread0.9¢bid 3¢ / ask 3.9¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA
Liquidity$21.9K24h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,2584.4¢+0.53¢$0.00fills
$1,0009,31711¢+6.83¢$0.00fills
$10,00025,71239¢+34.99¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

4.8¢13
4.7¢1,704
4.6¢678
4.3¢50
4.2¢50
4¢415
3.9¢260
spread 0.9¢ · mid 3.5¢
3¢50
2.8¢50
2.7¢50
2.6¢450
2.5¢547
2.4¢50
2.3¢628

Market read

Yes is 3.5¢. No is 96.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes3.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No96.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.