PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Geopolitics

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $366 · liquidity $14.6K
Yes 8¢No 92¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeDisputedUMA
Liquidity$14.6K24h vol $366

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10077113¢+3.96¢$0.00fills
$1,0002,36542¢+33.28¢$0.00fills
$10,00013,56174¢+64.74¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

17¢10
16¢8
13¢104
12¢56
11¢86
10¢209
9¢100
spread 2.0¢ · mid 8¢
7¢442
6¢917
5¢2,572
4¢183
3¢1,613
2¢4,032
1¢6,013

Market read

Yes is 8¢. No is 92¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes8¢Trade on Polymarket
No92¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: disputed.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.