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Geopolitics

Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $20 · liquidity $28.9K
Yes 3.7¢No 96.3¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 3.2¢ / ask 4.2¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA
Liquidity$28.9K24h vol $20

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,0354.9¢+0.71¢$0.00fills
$1,00015,5116.4¢+2.25¢$0.00fills
$10,00027,37037¢+32.34¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

5.3¢121
5.2¢2,092
5.1¢746
5¢233
4.9¢368
4.3¢250
4.2¢124
spread 1.0¢ · mid 3.7¢
3.2¢207
3.1¢300
3¢233
2.9¢50
2.8¢50
2.7¢50
2.6¢193

Market read

Yes is 3.7¢. No is 96.3¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes3.7¢Trade on Polymarket
No96.3¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.