PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Culture

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $749 · liquidity $4.5K
Yes 10¢No 90¢
Trade on PolymarketShare cardGet alerts on Telegram

Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 9¢ / ask 11¢
Taker fee$4.34on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$4.5K24h vol $749

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10076413¢+2.09¢$4.34fills
$1,0003,85726¢+14.93¢$34.39fills
$10,00011,43172¢+60.65¢$50.14partial

Order book Yes · latest

17¢149
16¢42
15¢145
14¢191
13¢272
12¢216
11¢19
spread 2.0¢ · mid 10¢
9¢10
8¢301
7¢92
6¢1,705
5¢19,479
4¢500
3¢707

Market read

Yes is 10¢. No is 90¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes10¢Trade on Polymarket
No90¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.