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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $1.6K · liquidity $4.5K
Yes 41¢No 60¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 40¢ / ask 42¢
Taker fee$2.89on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$4.5K24h vol $1.6K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10023742¢+0.19¢$2.89fills
$1,0002,23645¢+2.72¢$27.57fills
$10,00012,24281¢+39.22¢$63.93partial

Order book Yes · latest

48¢26
47¢25
46¢229
45¢363
44¢103
43¢952
42¢193
spread 2.0¢ · mid 41¢
40¢256
39¢1,413
38¢421
37¢140
36¢628
35¢20
34¢20

Market read

Yes is 41¢. No is 60¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes41¢Trade on Polymarket
No60¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.