PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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CultureResolved

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $6.0K · liquidity $4.8K
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.5¢bid 0.4¢ / ask 0.9¢
Taker fee$4.62on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$4.8K24h vol $6.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,0834.8¢+3.90¢$4.62fills
$1,0005,87917¢+16.11¢$37.01fills
$10,00015,27465¢+64.57¢$51.18fills

Order book Yes · latest

2.9¢5
2.1¢5
2¢20
1.9¢5
1.1¢36
1¢870
0.9¢10
spread 0.5¢ · mid 0.7¢
0.4¢24,480
0.3¢40
0.2¢20,010
0.1¢17,929

Market read

Yes is 0.7¢. No is 99.4¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.7¢Trade on Polymarket
No99.4¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.