PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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CultureResolved

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $4.1K · liquidity $4.7K
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.2¢bid 0.1¢ / ask 0.3¢
Taker fee$4.53on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$4.7K24h vol $4.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,7873.6¢+3.29¢$4.53fills
$1,0005,37719¢+18.30¢$28.49fills
$10,00014,58669¢+68.26¢$37.92fills

Order book Yes · latest

1.8¢5
1¢75
0.9¢10
0.6¢20
0.5¢5
0.4¢30
0.3¢1,607
spread 0.2¢ · mid 0.2¢
0.1¢37,875

Market read

Yes is 0.2¢. No is 99.8¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.2¢Trade on Polymarket
No99.8¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.