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Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $1.5K · liquidity $8.1K
Yes 31¢No 70¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread3.0¢bid 29¢ / ask 32¢
Taker fee$3.40on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$8.1K24h vol $1.5K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10031332¢+0.00¢$3.40fills
$1,0002,96734¢+1.70¢$33.12fills
$10,00015,62464¢+32.00¢$126.30fills

Order book Yes · latest

38¢381
37¢207
36¢208
35¢544
34¢843
33¢647
32¢675
spread 3.0¢ · mid 31¢
29¢33
28¢706
27¢318
25¢123
24¢55
23¢13
20¢25

Market read

Yes is 31¢. No is 70¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes31¢Trade on Polymarket
No70¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.